Peramalan Jumlah Kasus Tuberkulosis di Rumah Sakit Umum Haji Medan dengan Metode Support Vector Regression-Particle Swarm Optimization
Abstract
Tuberculosis is an infectious disease that is the leading cause of poor health and one of the major causes of death around the world, in 2021 north Sumatra ran sixth as the province with the highest Tuberculosis rate after Provinsi Jawa Barat, Jawa Tengah, Jawa timur, DKI Jakarta, and Banten. This may result from an unhealthy environment, an increase in nutrition events, the appearance of HIV/AIDS. Hence, this study aims to create a forecast model by the method of regression support (SVR) with an optimist Particle Swarm Optimazion (PSO). The initial stage of the study involves analyzing the data of those with tuberculosis that begins by calculating the correlation between data with the underlying factors. Then do the preprocessing to initial data value, selecting the number of features and normalization of data. After the analysis stage, regression calculations are made to compare the value of browsing and actual value using the Support Vector Regression (SVR) method of Support Vector Regression (SVR) with the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) so that a good fortune-giving result is obtained. The results of this study were obtained from an analysis with a value of MAPE = 35.85.
Downloads
Metrics
References
Andayani, Sri. (2020). Prediksi Kejadian Penyakit Tuberkulosis Paru Berdasarkan Jenis Kelamin. Jurnal Keperawatan Muhammadiyah Bengkulu. 8(2). 135- 140.
Departement Kesehatan RI 2021. Profil Kesehatan Indonesia 2021.
Hsu, C., Chang, C., & Lin, C. (2016). A Practical Guide to Support Vector Classification. 1(1), 1–16.
Montgomery, D, C., Jennings, C, L., Kulachi, M. (2015). Introduction To Time Series Analysis and Forecasting. 2nd ed. S. I.: Wiley.
Ramadhan, M, R., Stevanus, B, W., Muhammad, K. (2018). Pemodelan Matematika Penyebaran Penyakit Tuberkulosis Dengan Strategi DOTS. UNNES Journal of Mathematics. 7(2). 130-141.
Sugiyono. (2011). Metode Penelitian Kuantitatif, Kualitatif dan R&D. Bandung: Alfabeta.
Sun, Jun. Choi, H, L., Xiao, J, W. (2012). Particle Swarm Optimization Classical and Quantum Perspectives. New York: Taylor & Francis Group, LLC.
Suyono, A, A., Kusrini. Radiyanto, A. (2022). Prediksi Indeks Harga Konsumen Komoditas Makanan di Kota Surabaya Menggunakan Metode Support Vektor Regression. Jurnal Metik. 6(1). 45-51.
Trismanjaya Hulu, Victor. Dkk. (2020). Epidemiologi Penyakit Menular: Riwayat, Penularan dan Pencegahan. Medan: Yayasan Kita Menulis. 23.
Umiyati, A., Dadan, D., Fitriani, A. (2021). Peramalan Harga Batubara Acuan Menggunakan Metode PSOSVR dan IPSOSVR. JEM. 9(1). 71-95.
World Health Organization (WHO) 2022. Global Tuberculosis Report 2022.
Copyright (c) 2024 Sumawiyah Hsb, Ismail Husein, Rina Widyasari
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
In submitting the manuscript to the journal, the authors certify that:
- They are authorized by their co-authors to enter into these arrangements.
- The work described has not been formally published before, except in the form of an abstract or as part of a published lecture, review, thesis, or overlay journal.
- That it is not under consideration for publication elsewhere,
- That its publication has been approved by all the author(s) and by the responsible authorities – tacitly or explicitly – of the institutes where the work has been carried out.
- They secure the right to reproduce any material that has already been published or copyrighted elsewhere.
- They agree to the following license and copyright agreement.
License and Copyright Agreement
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0) that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work.